Tipmix Tips and Prediction: Lille vs Saint-Étienne – 01.02.2025.

2025.02.01.

Introduction

In the 20th round of the 2024/2025 French Ligue 1 season, Lille OSC will host AS Saint-Étienne at home on February 1, 2025, at 20:05 at the Decathlon Aréna – Stade Pierre Mauroy. Lille will be aiming to return to winning ways, while Saint-Étienne will be fighting to avoid relegation. In this article, we will provide a detailed analysis of the match and give Tippmix tips for those who want to bet.

Current form of teams

Lille OSC: Lille are currently in the top third of the Ligue 1 table. They have had mixed results in recent weeks:

  • Victory: 6-1 against Feyenoord in the Champions League, securing their place in the last 16.
  • Defeat: 1-2 away against Strasbourg, which ended their 14-match unbeaten streak in the domestic league.

However, they are extremely strong on the home field, as they have scored in 34 consecutive domestic league matches, which is currently the longest streak in Europe's top 5 leagues.

AS Saint-Etienne: The away team is in the bottom half of the table and is struggling to avoid relegation. They have been showing improving form recently:

  • Ties: They have drawn their last two matches, including an away draw against Auxerre, which is a valuable point.
  • Defeat: They were unbeaten in three matches before the defeat against PSG.

Under the guidance of new head coach Eirik Horneland, the team's performance is showing an improving trend.

Previous meetings

In the last meeting between the two teams, on 13 September 2024, Saint-Étienne defeated Lille 1-0 at home. Interestingly, Lille have not lost to Saint-Étienne at home since 1993 and are unbeaten against them in 21 matches at the Stade Pierre Mauroy since then. Their last two home meetings ended in 0-0 draws.

Injuries and missing persons

Lille:

  • Returnees: Alexsandro and Jonathan David return after their suspensions.
  • Missing: Benjamin André is suspended due to a yellow card. Ismaily is questionable due to a calf injury.

Saint-Etienne:

  • Missing: They have no significant injured or suspended players, so they are expected to field their strongest squad.

Tactical analysis and expected starting lineups

Lille OSC (4-2-3-1):

  • Goal-keeper: Lucas Chevalier
  • Defenders: Bafodé Diakité, Alexsandro, Tiago Djaló, Gabriel Gudmundsson
  • Defensive midfielders: Angel Gomes, Jonas Martin
  • Attacking midfielders: Edon Zhegrova, Rémy Cabella, Jonathan Bamba
  • Striker: Jonathan David

AS Saint-Étienne (4-3-3):

  • Goal-keeper: Gautier Larsonneur
  • Defenders: Yvann Maçon, Jimmy Giraudon, Mickaël Nadé, Gabriel Silva
  • Midfielders: Mahdi Camara, Aïmen Moueffek, Thomas Monconduit
  • Attackers: Denis Bouanga, Jean-Philippe Krasso, Arnaud Nordin

Match prediction

Lille are performing strongly at home, and although they have had some stumbles recently, their home record against Saint-Étienne is impressive. 

 

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Summary

Lille are the clear favourites for this match, especially at home. Saint-Étienne may struggle for points, but based on the statistics and the teams' form, a home win is the most likely outcome.

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